Independent publisher of prediction-market indices.
Aurelian publishes research indices derived from prediction-market prices. The indices are intended for informational and research purposes; they are not investment advice and not a benchmark for any financial product.
Daily indices of U.S. economic policy uncertainty (AURA-PUI) and Federal Reserve rate uncertainty (AURA-FED), computed from real-money contract prices on Kalshi and Polymarket. Each index has a published methodology, full historical CSV, and institutional-grade access tiers.
Aurelian is independently published. Source venues (Kalshi, Polymarket) do not endorse, sponsor, or co-publish any index. The indices are constructed from publicly available API data and computed independently.
General inquiries, licensing, and press: support@aurelianhq.com.